It was a day of shifting narratives as media shops, their pundits, and even the mapmakers started to cautiously discover a notion that was scoffed at within the days instantly earlier than Russia invaded Ukraine: Might Russia lose? Not simply face financial and diplomatic isolation, however undergo an on-the-ground navy loss?
It is now not unthinkable, although the state of affairs in Ukraine is way too unstable to presume it to be the most probably finish state of affairs. Ukraine continues to regain floor via counterattacks, and we’re studying (and the mapmakers are studying) that a lot of the land Russia is claimed to have taken has little precise Russian presence. Now even Kherson, the most important city Russia has captured, seems to be as soon as once more contested terrain. In the meantime, Russian errors proceed to stack up.
Ukraine claimed accountability for sinking a Russian navy ship docked in occupied Berdyansk and injury to a minimum of one different in one more beforehand unthinkable blow to Russia’s supposed navy dominance. Nonetheless, it is not instantly clear from the footage that the a number of explosions dockside have been from missile strikes. Sabotage or a catastrophic error in dealing with the offloading of Russian ammunition are additionally prospects, particularly since “catastrophic error” seems to be one of many few issues Russian commanders have been constantly in a position to produce.
This is a few of at the moment’s information:
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Mark Sumner
US. is now confirming that the Orsk was sank by the Ukrainian navy, quite than a Russian accident or pleasant hearth.
The most recent take is that the Orsk was taken out by a Turkish bayraktar drone, which additionally managed to wreck two different ships. The place the drone originated is unknown. We’re unlikely to get that data till after the conflict.
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kos
A number of reviews (unconfirmed) declare Ukraine has cleared Mykolaiv Oblast of all Russian troops. The truth that they’re at Kherson airport’s door suggests these claims are true.
Query: If all of Mykolaiv is cleared, does that imply that the Russian spearhead approaching Kryvyi Rih is now reduce off? Their provide strains to the northeast ran via Mykolaiv oblast. A lot of fog of conflict.
To emphasize, as I write this Thursday night, that is unconfirmed. I solely put up as a result of the assault on Kherson airport required Ukraine to tug up its artillery, and that wouldn’t be occurring if Russia was nonetheless working on these flanks.
