Thanks, Amy Remeikis, not least for the information that earlier than too lengthy we’ll be midway by way of!
Think about, we would even be speaking about solely totally different matters in per week’s time…
Possibly even in a couple of hours’ time… (that’s not a touch, simply attempting to embrace unpredictability right here).
With the campaigns starting to wind down in preparation for the weekend, I’ll duck off to work on one other mission and depart you within the very onerous working arms of Tory Shepherd.
Monday is Anzac Day, which historically is a low-key marketing campaign affair – with the leaders conscious of the danger of offending folks in the event that they politicise what’s suppose to be a solemn day of reflection.
However come 26 April? It’s recreation on. Subsequent week marks the midway level of the marketing campaign and is often when folks start to start out paying precise consideration. So brace your self. It’s going to get messy.
Thanks to everybody who has joined me this week. I’ll be again early subsequent week and I hope you’ll be able to take a couple of moments to stare at a wall over the subsequent couple of days. Within the meantime, handle you.
Why does the poll draw matter?
Effectively, for the candidates up the highest it could imply additional votes, due to those that simply no 1 to no matter so as down their poll.
A day is a really very long time in a marketing campaign
Right here was Scott Morrison yesterday:
Q: On Solomon Islands, you mentioned that in your expertise with NSC, you already know a bit about nationwide safety. Earlier this yr while you and different ministers made related feedback about China, the top of Asio mentioned politicising nationwide safety is quote “not useful”. So why did you repeat that remark when our nationwide safety companies have been saying it isn’t useful? It’s doing Australia a disservice.
Morrison:
Effectively see, while you’re prime minister, you’re operating the federal government. Public servants don’t run the federal government. Prime ministers and their ministers run authorities.
And right this moment? Effectively, questions on when he final spoke to the Solomon Islands prime minister and the like can’t be answered due to safety recommendation.
Nationwide Covid-19 replace
Listed below are the most recent coronavirus numbers from round Australia right this moment, because the nation data no less than 46 deaths from Covid-19:
ACT
- Deaths: 1
- Circumstances: 1,041
- In hospital: 57 (with 2 folks in ICU)
NSW
- Deaths: 13
- Circumstances: 15,283
- In hospital: 1,632 (with 63 folks in ICU)
Northern Territory
- Deaths: 0
- Circumstances: 543
- In hospital: 46 (with 1 individual in ICU)
Queensland
- Deaths: 5
- Circumstances: 8,080
- In hospital: 528 (with 18 folks in ICU)
South Australia
- Deaths: 4
- Circumstances: 4,500
- In hospital: 246 (with 10 folks in ICU)
Tasmania
- Deaths: 2
- Circumstances: 1,265
- In hospital: 41 (with 1 individual in ICU)
Victoria
- Deaths: 16
- Circumstances: 9,439
- In hospital: 428 (with 30 folks in ICU)
Western Australia
- Deaths: 5 (historic)
- Circumstances: 8,777
- In hospital: 258 (with 9 folks in ICU)
*Sonny and Cher voice*
And the marketing campaign goes on
Right here is a little more element on the Queensland Covid restriction adjustments.
Queensland will ease Covid-19 quarantine guidelines for family contacts and scrap it solely for unvaccinated worldwide arrivals subsequent week.Family contacts gained’t have to quarantine at residence for seven days, however they have to return a unfavorable speedy antigen take a look at each two days.
They need to additionally put on face masks indoors and open air once they can’t socially distance.
Family contacts ought to nonetheless work at home and keep away from high-risk settings resembling hospitals and aged care houses.
Learn extra right here:
Peter Hannam
Many economists expect Australia’s client worth inflation to rise once more within the March quarter however not sufficient to nudge the Reserve Financial institution into motion at its 3 Might assembly.
We are going to see how a lot costs have spiked from the ABS on 27 April, with main banks predicting the headline determine might be round 4.5 to five%, or a lot greater than the three.5% recorded for 2021.
Westpac right this moment put their neck out a bit additional. They reckon the RBA will sit tight on the Might board assembly however will raise the money price goal from its file low 0.1% at its 7 June assembly straight to 0.5%.
Overlook a few stepping-stone transfer to, say, 0.25% alongside the way in which.
Their reasoning is predicated partially on how the central financial institution has moved prior to now, in addition to Westpac’s current predictions being realised.
“Our “golden rule” for monitoring central banks is that their steerage past three months depends on their forecasts,” Westpac mentioned.
“You probably have a distinct set of forecasts to the central financial institution then when your forecasts show to be right the central financial institution should reply in a manner that might be in step with the circumstances and opposite to their present steerage,” it mentioned.
“It was that pondering that prompted us to be ‘very early leavers’ from the “no hike until 2024’ membership in June final yr; and the ‘no hike until 2023’ membership in January this yr,” the financial institution mentioned.
We’ll need to see whether or not the “we-told-you-so” is borne out in June.
If Westpac is true, although, it could suggest the RBA held off on the beginning of “normalising” its money price till after the election. The plain first transfer can be to 0.25% to ease the adjustment, quite than a five-fold rise.
Pundits will then little doubt query the RBA’s independence from the federal government, and have trigger to take action.
AAP has an replace on Jacinda Ardern’s go to to Japan:
Jacinda Ardern has denied {that a} new safety tie-up with Japan, introduced on a go to to Tokyo, is a response to China’s daring growth within the Pacific.
Ardern met with counterpart Fumio Kishida as she wraps up a six-day go to to Singapore and Japan, her first journey abroad in two years.
She described the assembly, which ran an hour longer than scheduled, as heat and substantive.
“This partnership issues,” Ardern mentioned.
“Japan and New Zealand should cooperate in what’s a deeply unsure international atmosphere.”
The knowledge-sharing deal is mild on element as it’s but to be absolutely negotiated between the 2 nations.
Nonetheless, Ardern mentioned the deal shouldn’t be seen as a tit-for-tat response for a brand new pact negotiated between China and the Solomon Islands.
“New Zealand has plenty of these preparations … they’re not nearly safety and intelligence,” she mentioned.
“[The recent volcanic eruption in] Tonga is a extremely good instance. New Zealand’s proximity to the area was actually useful for Japan which wished to be concerned within the humanitarian response.”
Signing a cope with Japan, a geopolitical counterweight to China, suggests New Zealand is solidifying its place throughout the western orbit that features the US and Australia.
Whereas on her Asian journey, Ardern rebuked the Solomon Islands for agreeing to the China deal which can see Chinese language police and, probably, army property deployed to Honiara.
The Kiwi prime minister mentioned she “noticed no want” for it, urging the Solomons to abide by regional agreements to hunt safety preparations throughout the Pacific household.
Ardern and Kishida issued a joint communique, each explicitly and implicitly rebuking China for its regional assertiveness and human rights breaches.
The 2 leaders expressed “severe concern” concerning the state of affairs within the South China Sea – with out naming China.
They have been extra focused in criticism of China over its human rights breaches, saying they held “grave considerations” relating to Xinjiang, the place China is accused of concentrating on and enslaving the Uighur minority, and in Hong Kong as a result of erosion of democratic establishments.
Kishida and Ardern additionally issued “unequivocal condemnation” of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, condemning Russian warfare crimes.
Given the “Anthony Albanese has Covid” dominated the morning information, right here is Murph’s tackle what all of it means.
Queensland to ease Covid restrictions
Queensland will scrap lodge quarantine for unvaccinated travellers from 28 April.
Amongst different adjustments:
On this similar interview (which did cowl severe matters like employee shortages and aged care), Scott Morrison opined that the ABC has “much more commentary than essentially their [news] typically”.
After which there was this second:
Q: PM, I hope you’ll be again in Brisbane as a result of my listeners additionally need to hear from you on huge points like local weather change, the Uluru Assertion, extra cost-of-living points. The ultimate notice that I’ll make that I observed is the thirteenth of Might – prime minister Scott Morrison, it’s your birthday.
Morrison: It’s, it’s.
Q: A marketing campaign birthday.
Morrison: I had one final time too. (He known as each elections and set the size of the marketing campaign.)
Q: How will you have a good time? Will you try to be with your loved ones that day?
Morrison: I’d wish to be, however that doesn’t at all times occur that manner. And my birthday often falls across the funds. And that’s been the case for, clearly I’ve been in politics for a very long time, so my household’s fairly used to us not being collectively on that day, and we at all times make up for it in a quiet manner just a little later.
Q: What’s your favorite cake?
Morrison: My favorite cake is Jenny’s chocolate cake. She discovered, she received that one from her mum, and I’ve to do a number of laps within the pool to make up for a slice of Jenny’s birthday cake.
The opposite Morrison election marketing campaign fixed? It’s the place we hear about him swimming.
Brendan Nelson has been appointed chair of the council of the Australian Conflict Memorial:
Memorial director Matt Anderson mentioned:
We warmly welcome right this moment’s appointment of Dr Brendan Nelson as chair of the council of the Australian Conflict Memorial.
Dr Nelson demonstrated his excellent dedication to the aim of the Australian Conflict Memorial and his assist of veterans and their households throughout his seven years as director.
We look ahead to working with Dr Nelson as our chair. He’ll carry his ardour, dedication and information to serve the memorial on this strategic capability.
And that press convention ends as effectively.
And continues:
And on the opposite level, I want Anthony effectively along with his restoration. Having had Covid, Peter has had it as effectively, it may be an disagreeable expertise for some, it may be a really harmful expertise for others. My hope is he has very gentle signs and I’m positive he’ll proceed to work on in the identical manner that I did once I was additionally in isolation, placing the funds collectively, coping with the response to Ukraine as a authorities, chairing cupboard and nationwide safety conferences, together with coping with the kinds of points we’ve got been discussing right this moment.
So I assume he’ll proceed to do this and I want him effectively for restoration.
For us, it means, aside from wishing him effectively, the federal government, the Liberals and nationals right here in Queensland will simply proceed to make the factors we’ve got made. We now have been robust financial managements and we’ve got a powerful financial plan going ahead that permits us to ensure the important companies Australians depend on, Medicare, to make sure we’re in a position to ship actual cost-of-living aid proper now, whether or not it’s on the gas pumps, the $250 going to pensioners and others receiving these funds. That could be a product of our robust financial and monetary administration that has seen the funds turnaround by over $100 billion within the final 12 months.
That reply continues:
Simply again in January, you’ll keep in mind when the brand new Chinese language ambassador got here to Australia, and he mentioned that Australia ought to reply to an olive department, it was known as. An olive department.
An olive department at a time when commerce sanctions have been regularly imposed on Australia, and Australia’s pursuits have been being spoken towards within the area by the Chinese language authorities.
Now, Anthony Albanese’s response to that invitation was, he mentioned, a number of the actions, he mentioned, to Beijing, a number of the actions which were taken to cease Australian merchandise going to China ought to be withdrawn. Some. Not all. Some.
Now, that is actually essential. You can not compromise while you’re standing as much as an authoritarian authorities that’s looking for to impose its will on the area.
You possibly can’t take a wager every manner on what sanctions you’re going to cop, and what sanctions you aren’t going to cop. So which is it? Is he going to say the bans on our wine, they’re OK, or they need to go? Our barley, they need to come or go? To the crayfishers down in Tasmania, are they those placed on the altar of compromise by Anthony Albanese? You possibly can’t have an every manner wager on this stuff.
I’ve been resolute, yr after yr after yr, I’ve known as this out, earlier than different nations world wide. You’ll keep in mind the 14 factors from the Chinese language embassy which attacked Australia over our freedom of our press, of our parliament, of calling out the origins of the pandemic and desirous to have an unbiased investigation. And we have been attacked for that.
And the Labor get together really attacked us for these kinds of actions as effectively. We known as that out, I took it to the G7 convention and I tabled it, and I mentioned: as liberal democracies, we’ve got to pay attention to this, and we ought to be taking motion.
Q: How involved are you that Beijing is making ready to do a cope with another Pacific Island nations? And Anthony Albanese clearly now has Covid-19 – what implications do you suppose that can have in your marketing campaign, given his absence?
Scott Morrison:
I stay involved, as I’ve for years and years and years, concerning the Chinese language authorities’s intentions inside our area.
And that’s the reason we’ve got offered the coverage response that we’ve got over a few years: rising our funding, significantly on growth help within the area, as much as over $1.8 billion a yr; by being proactive and going to the area as a first-rate minister and fascinating instantly with Pacific leaders, and talking with them usually as effectively, concerning the safety points in our area, however significantly with the New Zealand authorities, as a result of Australia and New Zealand do work intently on these points.
After which we work with different companions, significantly like Japan and the US. So sure, I do stay involved about – there’s fixed strain on these points, simply as there’s in different components of the area. And Peter ran by way of them. In Africa, different components, one of many different nations that isn’t at fault in what is occurring within the South China Sea is Vietnam. They’re a Communist get together with a Communist get together management. They’re not at fault with regards to their fishing boats and their deep sea exploration being threatened by coast guard vessels or others.
That is the position of an assertive Chinese language authorities throughout the area, which we all know firsthand has sought to coerce, whether or not or not it’s by way of commerce sanctions on Australia, for our barley, wine, any of these points, or looking for to work towards Australia’s pursuits extra broadly world wide.
Q: In March you mentioned your weekly conversations with Pacific Island would guarantee there can be no incursion by Beijing. You have been keen to take credit score then. Are you keen to assert any duty now for China’s new entry to the Solomons?
Scott Morrison:
You at all times need to obtain the prevention of those preparations. And all the things we have been doing was looking for to realize that. However there might be events the place you aren’t in a position to for that to be the end result. However I feel Peter makes an important level, an important level.
The rationale there’s a Chinese language authorities secret cope with Solomon Islands authorities, a deal that we all know, the place the Chinese language authorities doesn’t play by the identical guidelines of transparency, that liberal democracies do within the area, and we don’t have interaction in the identical manner they do within the area, that may be a results of what the Chinese language authorities has finished.
Not a results of what the Australian authorities has finished.
So the suggestion that the Australian authorities is in any manner contributed to this association being put in place I feel is completely false. And I do know it to not be the case. Australia continues to be the precedence most popular first safety companion of Solomon Islands. And we’ve got Australian Federal Police on the bottom in Honiara proper now, securing peace and stability for the folks of the Solomon Islands.
And our folks to folks relations between Australia and the folks of the Solomon Islands could be very, very robust. As a result of as I hold stressing, these occasions solely spotlight the vulnerabilities, the dangers, and safety threats that exist inside our area. And there’s a selection. What would Labor have finished in another way? In the event that they suppose it’s only a matter of constructing a telephone name, that highlights how little they perceive concerning the complexity and seriousness of those points.