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why movie tariffs could be a flop

by Index Investing News
May 7, 2025
in Economy
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Unlock the Editor’s Digest free of charge

Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favorite tales on this weekly e-newsletter.

Slapping tariffs on overseas movies, US President Donald Trump’s newest wheeze, is a plot riddled with holes. Movies, like automobiles, are sometimes multinational affairs. Random instance: The Apprentice, a biopic charting the rise of a youthful Trump, corralled funding from 4 international locations. The director is Iranian-Danish; two of the leads hail from japanese Europe.

It helps to start out with some scene-setting. The White Home has typically introduced tariffs as a approach of whittling down the US commerce deficit. But in the case of movies, the US enjoys a surplus: it totalled $15.3bn in 2023, in accordance with the Movement Image Affiliation, an trade physique. Exports have been treble the worth of imports.

Logical inconsistencies apart, there may be the practicality of exacting a levy on one thing that doesn’t come off a ship or bodily move via customs inspectors’ fingers. Pricing of streamed content material is a darkish artwork, and producers are loath to place up subscriptions: Netflix took years to crack down on password sharing.

Traders definitely didn’t see Netflix being affected. Shares within the US streamer initially fell on Monday on the information however have since recovered. Within the UK, these in Services by ADF, which supplies transport on units, are down 16 per cent for the reason that begin of the week.

It could be that the actual villain Trump has in his sights is the array of tax breaks and different incentives that overseas international locations, together with the UK, shell out with a view to lure Hollywood. That the observe is so widespread is testomony to the perceived worth of creating a thriving artistic trade. Think about South Korea, which has constructed hefty comfortable energy on the again of reveals equivalent to Squid Sport and Oscar-winning Parasite.

The US might comply with swimsuit or, alternatively, pursue totally different funding streams to offer a leg-up to unbiased producers. One possibility into account within the UK, for instance, is to faucet streamers, by way of a levy on revenues, to in impact cross-subsidise public broadcasting excessive finish tv. The danger, in fact, is that some governments are inclined to make monetary assist conditional on together with, or avoiding, sure sorts of content material.

However don’t write off British manufacturing and logistics simply but. The explanation US filmmakers themselves are blissful to schlep crew and package throughout the globe is that cheaper prices assist their funds stack up. Barbie was not alone in erecting her pink plastic residence in Britain; final yr the UK pulled in nearly £5bn from Hollywood blockbusters shot in UK studios.

Absent that, this plot will develop upon strictly predictable traces. The sequel — or fairly prequel — started final month when China struck again on the first wave of tariff will increase by slimming down its already slim quota of US movies. America dangers seeing certainly one of its uncommon surpluses shrivel again — and making manufacturing costlier is not going to make Hollywood nice once more.

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