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What to search for when FedEx (FDX) experiences Q3 2025 earnings outcomes

by Index Investing News
March 15, 2025
in Markets
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Shares of FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX) stayed inexperienced on Friday. The inventory has dropped 14% over the previous three months. The package deal supply firm is scheduled to report its third quarter 2025 earnings outcomes on Thursday, March 20, after market shut. Right here’s a have a look at what to anticipate from the earnings report:

Income

Analysts are projecting income of $21.9 billion for the third quarter of 2025, which compares to income of $21.7 billion reported in the identical quarter a 12 months in the past. Within the second quarter of 2025, income dipped 1% year-over-year to $22 billion.

Earnings

The consensus goal for incomes per share in Q3 2025 is $4.67, which means a rise of 21% from the prior-year interval. In Q2 2025, adjusted EPS rose 2% YoY to $4.05.

Factors to notice

FedEx has been tackling a difficult demand atmosphere, with weak point within the industrial economic system that has negatively impacted its B2B volumes, particularly within the US home package deal and LTL markets. In Q2, stress on volumes, led by weak point within the US home market, was partly offset by sturdy worldwide development.

The cargo large anticipates consolidated income to be up barely YoY within the third quarter. Revenues within the Federal Categorical phase are anticipated to see development throughout the again half of fiscal 12 months 2025, supported by floor residential and worldwide economic system quantity development, pushed by Asia and European markets. This bodes properly for Q3.

Nevertheless, the FedEx Freight phase is predicted to see a slight income decline within the second half of the 12 months, as a result of softness in common day by day shipments and modest yield enchancment. This may increasingly affect Q3 outcomes.

FedEx is predicted to learn from its DRIVE program, which continues to generate value financial savings. The corporate achieved DRIVE financial savings of $540 million in Q2, and it anticipates these financial savings to construct incrementally in Q3 and This autumn to succeed in $2.2 billion for the complete 12 months of 2025.

FDX expects the underside line outcomes at its Federal Categorical phase to learn from DRIVE financial savings and inspiring peak demand in Q3. Nevertheless, continued softness within the US industrial economic system and decrease gas costs are anticipated to stress working earnings in FedEx Freight.



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