Intro. [Recording date: February 11, 2025.]
Russ Roberts: As we speak is February eleventh, 2025, and my visitor is historian and creator James Barr. I reached out to him after current occasions in Syria–the fall of Assad–and I spotted I had no concept how Syria turned Syria, together with another issues I did not know concerning the Center East, after all. It is a lengthy record.
However, after some research, I found a e-book, A Line within the Sand: Britain, France, and the Wrestle that Formed the Center East, by our visitor, James Barr. The e-book explores how the French-British rivalry formed the end result of the world and the area within the aftermath of the autumn of the Ottoman Empire, which finally gave the world the nations of Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Israel. And, that is our dialog for at this time.
James, welcome to EconTalk.
James Barr: Thanks for having me, Russ.
Russ Roberts: So, I wish to return in time. We have been speaking a bit of bit concerning the Center East from time to time within the final 16 months, since October seventh. However, we will take a bigger panoramic view at this time. And, we will return to the Ottoman Empire, which a lot of you listening could have heard of. However, it ends on the finish of World Struggle I. The Ottomans ally themselves with Germany and lose. And so, the run-up to that, with the understanding that which may occur, many nations had been excited about, ‘Nicely, what is going on to occur to the Ottoman Empire?’
And so, I assumed we would begin with an obscure second in historical past, however it seems to have some significance, which is the Sykes-Picot, P-I-C-O-T, the Sykes-Picot Settlement. It is obtained a hyphen within the center, or a splash. James, being British, will in all probability know which one it’s. However, it is the Sykes-Picot Settlement, which began the West’s ongoing involvement in a serious manner within the Center East. And, by Center East we imply way more than Israel, the place focus is at this time, however on a much wider vary of the area. So, begin us off there when you may.
James Barr: So, I feel earlier than we get to Sykes-Picot, you had been simply saying Russ concerning the Ottoman Empire. And, the Ottomans ruled–at the start of the First World Struggle, they nonetheless dominated the central Center East. So, by that I am pondering of Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Israel, Palestine, and happening the type of edges of the Arabian Peninsula. So, that’s–from their capital in Istanbul, they managed the entire area of what was part of the Arab world.
They joined the Germans, as you mentioned, within the First World Struggle. And, the Germans satisfied the Ottoman Sultan to declare a Holy Struggle towards, properly, Britain and France, however actually this was angled on the British. As a result of the British had important Muslim populations in Egypt, which that they had run since 1882, which they seized in 1882; and in addition in India. And, India was a actually large a part of this story, despite the fact that it is off the map, as a result of India was just about a very powerful British colony at the moment.
Russ Roberts: I ought to simply point out, I do not assume I did, I apologize: The Ottoman Empire is Turkey. So, it is run by the Turks.
James Barr: It is run by the Turks, however it’s a multi-ethnic Empire, and it nonetheless is. Though it has develop into much more Turkish within the run-up to the First World Struggle, and there is the type of–yeah, there is a sort of Turkish ideology now. Which makes a few of the Arab topics of that Empire really feel more and more like second-class residents. And, I suppose we’ll in all probability come again to that in a minute.
However so, the important thing factor is the First World Struggle begins. Famously, it was purported to be over by Christmas 1914, and naturally it wasn’t. The entire battle turned slowed down on each the Japanese and the Western Fronts.
And, in Britain, individuals began to assume, ‘Nicely, how will we win this battle?’ And, there was a bunch of people that had been often called the Easterners who believed that one possibility was to assault the Ottoman Empire, as a result of the prevailing view by the start of the twentieth century was that the Ottomans had been the ‘Sick man of Europe.’ They’d already misplaced a chunk–they used to have an empire that prolonged properly into the Balkans in Japanese Europe, however they steadily misplaced these possessions over the earlier quarter of a century or so. And so, the British view, or the view amongst this faction contained in the British authorities, was that the Ottomans could be simple to knock out of the battle.
So, the concept they got here up with was to assault Gallipoli, which is on the Dardanelles Peninsula. So, that is the very slender straits south of Constantinople, main from the Aegean into the Sea of Marmara in direction of the Black Sea. And, that is about 150 miles from Constantinople, or Istanbul as I ought to name it.
So, the concept was: Seize the Ottomans by the throat, defeat them, after which march into Istanbul, after which that may be the Ottomans out of the battle. And, that may allow the British and the Allies to open up a brand new entrance in Southern Europe and drive the Germans to disperse their efforts. So, that was the goal of the factor.
However as you mentioned, after all what that did–rather prematurely–was encourage a dialogue about what would occur to the Ottoman Empire as soon as this had occurred. And, allowing for this was assumed that it wasn’t going to be too troublesome to attain.
The British, in true British type, fashioned a committee which got down to try to examine choices: What may occur to the Ottoman Empire? And, there was a person known as Mark Sykes on this committee, and he was in his mid-30s. He had been elected a Member of Parliament for the east coast port of Hull in 1911, however he’d made his identify already as an knowledgeable on the Ottoman Empire. So, he’d written about it. He’d labored for the British Ambassador within the British Embassy in Istanbul earlier than the battle. And, he’d written a few large, thick books on the topic and traveled fairly broadly. And, he was a member of the landed gentry. His father was Sir Tatton Sykes. He was a devotee famously of church structure, milk pudding, and holding his physique at a relentless temperature. And, Mark Sykes was his solely son–the solely son of this barely eccentric character.
And Sykes, actually by drive of personality–he was a twinkly man–he was fairly convincing, and he took on lots of the work of the committee as a result of he basically had time on his palms. And, it was he who finally turned the British negotiator of what turned the Sykes-Picot Settlement.
The rationale the Settlement comes about is that the French discover out about what the British are pondering of. In addition they discover out that Britain had, throughout this time, had made a promise to the Arabs as properly. Due to the jihad that I discussed, the British had been very frightened about the potential for a Holy Struggle. And, the best way that they determined they’d blunt that was by encouraging the ruler of Mecca–the axis level of the Islamic world–to stand up towards the Ottomans.
So, the Ottomans managed Mecca–in idea, however probably not. They did not actually have a very tight maintain on it. And, they persuaded Sharif Hussein–who, he himself claimed he was a descendant of Muhammad–they persuaded him to stand up in 1916. However, to do this, they made him this big–rather vague–but they made him fairly a giant promise.
Nicely, the French discovered about that promise via fairly nefarious methods. And, as soon as they found that, they then compelled the query of what would occur to the Ottoman Empire, as a result of they had been frightened about their very own pursuits.
And, we should always speak a bit about these pursuits. As a result of, the French had gradually–they had affect within the Ottoman Empire going manner, manner again, going proper again to type of the 1500s the place the Ottoman Sultan on the time had acknowledged that they had been the representatives of Christians residing in what we consider because the Holy Land–or what Christians consider because the Holy Land–in Israel, Palestine now. And, the French had fairly important cultural affect in what we now consider as Lebanon and Syria, primarily via monastic organizations and establishments, which offered schooling.
And, a French education–if you might be taught by the monks of one in all these monasteries–if you had been an Ottoman at the moment, that was fairly good. That was higher than an Ottoman state schooling. And so, when you had been an aspiring Ottoman, type of a center class Ottoman with aspirations, you then would ship your kids off to a French faculty the place they study French and they might be taught within the French manner. So, the French had this type of affect via that, primarily in what we now consider as Lebanon and Syria, and so they wished the British to acknowledge that place that that they had.
Russ Roberts: Simply to make clear: a reminder to listeners that at this level France and England are allies. They’ve these competing pursuits within the Center East, which we will discover at this time, however they’re desperately engaged in a battle towards Germany and Austria-Hungary. They’ve Russia as an ally as well–that they are going to lose in 1917 with the Communist Revolution. However, these are two allies who had been already anticipating that there is going to be a carcass to carve up on the finish of this horrible battle, World Struggle I.
And, the opposite factor I wish to mention–Turkey was known as the Sick Man of Europe–but, the Ottoman Empire at this level is 400 or 500 years previous. So, the area of the world that we’re speaking about that could be very acquainted to us at this time because the Center East–and once more to give attention to the 4 principal nations which might be going to get mentioned, Israel, Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq, and a bit of Saudi Arabia as properly, I suppose alongside the way–they do not exist. They’re just–they are areas that Turkey is ruling in nominal phrases, however with, as you level out, not whole efficacy as a result of it is a big place and it is arduous to increase your police or navy means throughout such a big space.
And, all people is jockeying for affect on this space after the Struggle. Which would come with the Arab nationalists–which we will discuss, which I feel is your subsequent group–the Jews of what on the time is known as Palestine, or an space known as Palestine–but the Holy Land is nearly as good a reputation as any, as you counsel. However Jews world wide additionally care about it.
And, you even have the individuals living–the Arabs residing in these areas who do not precisely really feel hooked up to the Turks, to the Ottomans. So, that is the backdrop for this jockeying.
James Barr: Precisely. And, the Sykes-Picot Settlement cuts a line throughout all this. So, the French are available in and François Georges-Picot is their man. And he comes from a household of French imperialists. He hears about what the British are as much as and he does not just like the sound of it. And, he will get himself appointed the French negotiator. And he involves London within the autumn of 1915 and begins banging his fist on the desk, basically, and saying that the French will not settle for regardless of the British are as much as. The alliance is at stake, successfully. He manages to dramatize that extraordinarily successfully.
And, the British are frightened concerning the power of the alliance, Russ, as a result of though as you say, they’re allies, they’re comparatively current allies. I imply, a bit of bit south of the place I dwell in London there’s a fort on the North Downs, which is the primary ring–line–of hills south of London, constructed within the Eighteen Nineties in case there was a French invasion. So, we’re not that far on from that, about 20 years after that fortress was constructed to withstand the French in case they invaded. So, there’s fairly important suspicions lurking beneath the floor.
And, François Georges-Picot performs on this very, very successfully, and the British notice they have to do a deal. And, Sykes is the person who goes to the highest ministers within the British authorities who’ve obtained a complete load of different issues to fret about–most importantly the query of conscription. As a result of the battle had been fought by volunteers up thus far, however Britain was working out of males and so they knew they had been going to have to start out calling individuals up, and that was going to be obligatory. So, they had been way more frightened about that. This comes as a fairly unlucky interruption, actually. I feel most British politicians at the moment would have struggled to put Syria and Lebanon on a map themselves.
And, Sykes says, ‘I want to draw a line from the E of Acre to the final Ok in Kirkuk.’ And, he has a map. It is a sq. map, which he had helped draw again earlier than the battle. And so, he proposes dividing the Center East alongside this diagonal line, and the French had been going to get many of the space to the north of it–either instantly, they had been going to regulate it, or they had been going to have some affect over it. And the British had been going to get the territory to the south.
And, underlying that’s this type of British strategic idea that they need what they name a belt of English-controlled nation working throughout the Center East from the Mediterranean Sea–the jap coast of the Mediterranean Sea–right via to the border with what’s now Iran, was then often called Persia. And, the goal of that was to maintain all comers–keep the French, hold the Russians, or whoever, the Germans–away from the approaches to India. That was the essential factor. So, it was defending the routes to India.
So, this strategic idea dates proper, proper again. It motivates what the British are doing via a lot of the nineteenth century with Russia.
Russ Roberts: And it contains, as you level out within the e-book, once more a footnote of historical past that now’s largely forgotten however on the time was essential: the Suez Canal. So, they’re working Egypt. They have the Suez Canal. Proper subsequent to the Suez Canal is the Sinai Desert, which isn’t precisely a buffer zone. It is a bodily buffer zone, however there’s no person there to have interaction with. After which out of the blue you are in Palestine and also you’re in Lebanon. And so, they had been very frightened, as you level out within the e-book, that they’d have an enemy of some variety on the border of the Suez Canal, which is their lifeblood–and a lot of the world’s lifeblood–connecting India and elsewhere to Europe and the Mediterranean.
James Barr: Precisely. The canal, which was opened in 1869, had develop into actually, actually necessary, significantly to the British. It is owned by an Anglo-French consortium. However, yeah, it is completely vital to the British. In order that’s all a part of the strategic idea.
The factor was, although, with Sykes-Picot, is that the 2 sides–the two men–could not agree about the way forward for what they known as Palestine at the moment. They each wished it. The British wished it for this strategic objective that you’ve got simply outlined. And, the French wished it extra for causes of status. It was extra concerning the non secular significance of the world that they wished it, though that additionally was undoubtedly a consider British pondering. However, basically, it was a slightly–two barely completely different goals, mentalities at play right here.
Russ Roberts: However, I derailed you. You had been going to speak about Mecca and Sharif Hussein and his interactions with the British and the way that continues on into the time we’re speaking about.
James Barr: So, Sharif Hussein does stand up towards the Ottomans in 1916. However, the revolt that he requires is a little bit of a catastrophe as a result of the British hadn’t actually thought sufficient about how they had been going to assist it. And so, inside a couple of months it begins to peter out.
And, the person who goes in to attempt to repair it has develop into very well-known. It is Lawrence of Arabia, as he is now known–Thomas Edward Lawrence. He was then in his 20s. He’d been an archeologist earlier than the battle. He’d labored in Syria. And, he had a desk job in Cairo and was fed up with that. He was additionally in all probability fairly responsible, as a result of two of his brothers had been killed combating within the battle on the Western Entrance. And there he was, drumming his fingers on a desk, charting Ottoman Military troop actions within the intelligence division in Cairo. So, he was itching to do one thing, and he mainly carved himself a job to exit and take a look at the scenario on the bottom and to make suggestions.
However actually, what he wished to do is to search out himself a correct job. Which he obtained.
And so, he then spent the following two years of the battle attempting to show the Arab revolt into one thing. And he succeeds in that in an enormous manner, far past anybody’s expectations. The Arabs captured Aqaba, which is the port on the head of the Purple Sea reverse Suez, in July 1917. After which, a yr later, they’re up in what’s now northern Jordan/southern Syria; and so they play a job within the last offensive in that a part of the First World Struggle, within the Center East theater, the place proper on the finish of the battle, the British, underneath Common Allenby–they’ve already captured Jerusalem on the finish of 1917–and then they advance to Damascus within the last weeks of the First World Struggle. And, Lawrence and the Arabs play a component in that.
And the purpose that Lawrence is so eager to be concerned in that’s as a result of this takes the Arabs into the territory that Sykes has conceded to François Georges-Picot. As a result of the undercurrent of all that is that Lawrence hates Sykes. He thinks he is a complete newbie. Yeah–he completely loathes him. He is solely encountered him, I feel, as soon as. However, at that time, Sykes instructed him concerning the deal that he had struck. And, Lawrence is vehemently anti-French and thinks that it is a horrible deal on that degree. However he is additionally fairly pro-Arab. It is crucial to not overstate this. Some individuals are likely to as a result of he turns into extra pro-Arab as time goes on. Essentially, he is a British imperialist; however he was additionally somebody who had labored with the Arabs and definitely was sympathetic to their ambitions.
And, I suppose perhaps we should always get on to the Arab nationalists at this level. As a result of, since, type of from the late nineteenth century onwards, there’s a creating nationalist movement–as there’s throughout every kind of locations: throughout Europe and naturally with the Zionists as one other nationalist motion. Arab nationalism had been rising within the Ottoman Empire, partly due to this growing Turkish ideology, held at a type of authorities degree, but in addition a lot, a lot broader issues like simply easy literacy and issues like that.
Individuals were–Arabs were–becoming a lot, way more conscious of their id and the truth that that they had a completely different id to their Turkish rulers. [More to come, 22:01]