This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 71%. (I’m a bot)
According to the ISW, Prigozhin’s proposed Wagner Line extension aims to defend the border between Belgorod Oblast and Ukraine’s Sumy, Kharkiv, and Luhansk Oblasts, but “Notably would not cover northern Luhansk Oblast up to the line of contact with the occupied territories, placing it at odds with Kremlin promises to defend all of the Luhansk region.”
“Prigozhin and Wagner commanders are likely preparing to defend the positions they think they can realistically hold, not the present extent of Russian lines or all of the territory the Kremlin claims to have annexed, and are likely not confident in Russia’s ability to defend settlements north of Lysychansk such as Kreminna and Svatove,” the ISW said.
The ISW noted that Prigozhin may be attempting to amplify the demands of the Russian nationalist community, who have repeatedly accused the Kremlin of failing to defend the Belgorod Oblast border.
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