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Jamie Dimon expects S&P 500 earnings estimates to fall amid uncertainty

by Index Investing News
April 13, 2025
in Markets
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JPMorgan Chase CEO and Chairman Jamie Dimon gestures as he speaks in the course of the U.S. Senate Banking, Housing and City Affairs Committee oversight listening to on Wall Road companies, on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C.

Evelyn Hockstein | Reuters

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon stated Friday that he expects estimates for company earnings to fall amid the uncertainty created by President Donald Trump’s commerce negotiations.

On a name with reporters to debate first-quarter earnings, JPMorgan CFO Jeremy Barnum stated he did not see a cause to tug the financial institution’s steering, which is contingent on how the economic system and rates of interest play out.

His boss, Dimon, then interjected, talking in regards to the broader company world: “I might simply add firms, some have taken away their steering. I anticipate to see extra of that.”

“Analysts have typically lowered their S&P estimate earnings by 5%,” in current days, Dimon stated. “I believe you will see that come down some extra.”

Later Friday, Dimon specified that he anticipated analysts to slash their S&P 500 earnings estimates for progress of 5% to develop into flat after which as a lot as destructive 5% “in all probability the following month.”

Firms can be reporting earnings over the following a number of weeks, giving managers a possibility to replace traders on their outlook throughout a interval of heightened uncertainty. Markets have whipsawed since Trump introduced a sweeping set of tariffs on America’s buying and selling companions final week, and have remained risky as U.S.-China tensions have escalated.

Already, firms with publicity to the patron together with Walmart, Delta and Frontier Airways have reined in elements of their steering to traders.

The uncertainty is inflicting shoppers to tug again from buying firms and making investments as they undertake a wait-and-see perspective, Dimon and Barnum stated.

Anecdotal examples counsel that “individuals are being cautious,” Dimon stated. “, individuals are pulling again on doing offers, not simply large ones, however middle-market firms are being very cautious about funding.”

Barnum added the atmosphere has led companies to drop long-term plans in favor of “near-term optimization of provide chains.”

“This stage of coverage uncertainty is one which makes it exhausting to plan for the long run,” Barnum stated.

In the meantime, shoppers have held up within the first quarter, and extra lately there are indicators they have been accelerating purchases on considerations that tariffs will make objects dearer, the CFO stated.

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