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CPI = 5.0% (Time to Stop Raising Rates)

by Index Investing News
April 13, 2023
in Economy
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics:

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.1 percent in March on a seasonally-adjusted basis, after increasing 0.4 percent in February. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 5.0 percent before seasonal adjustment. (April 2023)

As much as I want to jump up and down about 0.1% seasonally adjusted (after a 0.4% prior month), the big number is not so big:

5.0%

A 5 handle is a huge development, even with the core remaining slightly elevated.

Note the food at home index fell 0.3% over <arch — this was the first decline since September 2020.

And despite a hot war on the Euro-Asian border, energy prices dropped significantly. Gasoline plummeted 17.4% year over year, while the overall energy index fell 6.4 % over the past 12 months, while

If the FOMC were plugged in, they would realize that their work is done, there is no need to throw millions out of work because we have a shortage of houses, semiconductors, and workers of all kinds. Most goods have returned to pre-pandemic price levels. The biggest driver of apartment prices is the shortage of homes and the high price of mortgages. (Gee, whoever is responsible for that?)

Regardless, consumer prices continue to fall. Even housing costs posted the smallest monthly increases in a year.

 

Previously:
For Lower Inflation, Stop Raising Rates (January 18, 2023)

Inflation Comes Down Despite the Fed (January 12, 2023)

Supply Chain Is 40% of Inflation (November 17, 2022)

Why Is the Fed Always Late to the Party? (October 7, 2022)

How the Fed Causes (Model) Inflation (October 25, 2022)

Why Aren’t There Enough Workers? (December 9, 2022)

How Everybody Miscalculated Housing Demand (July 29, 2021)]

 

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