Keep knowledgeable with free updates
Merely signal as much as the UK inflation myFT Digest — delivered on to your inbox.
UK store costs fell for the second consecutive month in September and registered the bottom price in additional than three years, in response to information that implies family funds are bettering after a protracted interval of excessive inflation.
Store costs fell by an annual price of 0.6 per cent in September, down from a 0.3 per cent contraction within the earlier month and the bottom price since August 2021, information printed by the British Retail Consortium confirmed on Tuesday.
The figures, which offer early indications of value pressures forward of the official month-to-month inflation information printed on October 16, present how the price of residing disaster, which hit hundreds of thousands of households, is lastly receding.
Store value inflation hit a file 9 per cent in Could final yr, following a spike in vitality and meals costs triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Helen Dickinson, chief government of the BRC, mentioned: “September was a great month for cut price hunters as large reductions and fierce competitors pushed store costs additional into deflation.”
She added that the deflation “was pushed by non-food, with furnishings and clothes exhibiting the largest drops in inflation as retailers tried to entice customers again”.
Non-food costs have been down by an annual price of two.1 per cent in September, accelerating the 1.5 per cent fall within the previous month and marking the bottom price since March 2021.
Meals inflation edged as much as 2.3 per cent in September from 2 per cent within the earlier month, nevertheless, as poor harvests in key producing areas led to greater costs for cooking oils and sugary merchandise, in response to the BRC. Final month, the UN Meals and Agriculture Group highlighted an increase in palm oil costs linked low output in Indonesia.
The official UK price of inflation, which incorporates vitality and providers, was 2.2 per cent in August, unchanged from July and up from 2 per cent within the earlier two months. Economists count on inflation to rise additional to 2.5 per cent by the tip of 2024 as vitality costs fall much less yr on yr.
BRC added that geopolitical tensions may additional push up costs. “Easing value inflation will definitely be welcomed by shoppers, however ongoing geopolitical tensions, local weather change, and government-imposed regulatory prices may all reverse this development,” mentioned Dickinson.
