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Paul Tudor Jones says inventory market will hit new lows even when Trump cuts China tariffs to 50%

by Index Investing News
May 10, 2025
in Markets
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Billionaire hedge fund supervisor Paul Tudor Jones stated Tuesday that shares are sure to hit new lows even when President Donald Trump tones down his aggressive tariffs on China.

“For me, it is fairly clear. You could have Trump who’s locked in on tariffs. You could have the Fed who’s locked in on not reducing charges. That is not good for the inventory market,” Jones stated on CNBC’s “Squawk Field.” “We’ll in all probability go all the way down to new lows, even when Trump dials again China to 50%.”

The extensively adopted investor’s bearish feedback got here after Trump’s rollout of the very best levies on imports in generations shocked the world final month, triggering excessive volatility on Wall Avenue. The S&P 500 suffered a extreme sell-off however has since recouped a lot of the losses, sitting 8% under its all-time excessive.

Trump has slapped tariffs of 145% on imported Chinese language items this yr, prompting China to impose retaliatory levies of 125%. China stated final week it’s evaluating the potential of beginning commerce negotiations with the U.S.

“He’ll dial it again to 50% or 40%, no matter. Even when he does that … it might be the biggest tax will increase for the reason that ’60s,” Jones stated. “So you possibly can form of take 2%, 3% off progress.”

Jones, founder and chief funding officer of Tudor Funding, believes shares have not discovered a backside as macroeconomic circumstances proceed to deteriorate. The Federal Reserve has held its key in a single day lending charge regular since December in a spread between 4.25% and 4.5%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stated he expects policymakers to “look ahead to larger readability” on commerce coverage ramifications earlier than adjusting any additional.

“Except they received actually dovish and actually, actually lower, you are in all probability going to go to new lows,” Jones stated. “After which once we’re new lows, the onerous day will begin to observe, and it will in all probability create the Fed to maneuver, create Trump to maneuver. After which we’ll get some form of actuality.”

Jones shot to fame after he predicted and profited from the 1987 inventory market crash. He’s additionally the chairman of nonprofit Simply Capital, which ranks public U.S. firms primarily based on social and environmental metrics.

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