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NHL commerce deadline winners and losers: Mikko Rantanen, Brad Marchand reshape Stanley Cup race

by Index Investing News
March 9, 2025
in Sport
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What the 2025 NHL commerce deadline lacked in amount, it made up for in high quality. In spite of everything, it’s not typically now we have a chronic drama just like the Mikko Rantanen saga, which took a number of twists and turns earlier than ending deep within the coronary heart of Texas. And the Panthers’ beautiful acquisition of Brad Marchand is without doubt one of the nice buzzer-beaters in deadline historical past.

GO DEEPER

NHL commerce deadline: Grading each deal accomplished this commerce season

Now that the mud has settled — and figuring out full nicely that the true winners and losers received’t be identified till mid-June — let’s check out who improved essentially the most, who took the largest probabilities and who fell flat on their face on deadline day.


Winner: Florida Panthers

Think about going up towards a line with each Brad Marchand and Matthew Tkachuk on it. Good luck with that. Panthers GM Invoice Zito made the a lot of the cap area Tkachuk’s groin harm opened up, snagging Marchand on the final minute after including Seth Jones earlier within the week.

Marchand won’t be the 100-point participant he was six years in the past, however he’s nonetheless a superb all-around participant and one of many recreation’s all-time nice pests. You possibly can depend on The Rat being showered with pretend rats after an enormous win in South Florida sooner or later this spring. Each Marchand and Tkachuk are damage proper now, however each are anticipated again for the postseason, which is all that issues in Florida. And whereas Jones was overpaid because the Blackhawks’ No. 1 defenseman, he might be an excellent No. 3 in Florida (and potential No. 2 going ahead as Aaron Ekblad hits unrestricted free company this summer season), and at a extra manageable $7 million cap hit with Chicago retaining $2.5 million for the subsequent 5 seasons.

Winner: Mikko Rantanen

Rantanen was a member of the Carolina Hurricanes for about six weeks. He spent his first week on the street. He spent the subsequent two weeks with Workforce Finland in Montreal and Boston. He had all of six dwelling video games in Raleigh. It’s totally cheap that he wasn’t able to commit the subsequent eight years of his life to a franchise and a metropolis he barely is aware of. And that he was pushing for a nine-figure deal, complicating issues additional.

Then Rantanen went and signed an eight-year cope with Dallas, a group for which he’s by no means performed, a metropolis during which he’s by no means lived. And for $96 million, lower than Carolina reportedly provided. As if there have been any doubt that groups in tax-free states had an inherent benefit over the remainder of the league.

Rantanen had complete management of his state of affairs, so he should be proud of the deal or it wouldn’t have occurred. Whereas it will have been enjoyable to see what somebody like Rantanen may have gotten on the open market — gamers like him so hardly ever get to that time — he’s becoming a member of top-of-the-line and best-run groups within the league, and he’s incomes generational wealth to take action. How may you have a look at that as something however a win?

Winner: Dallas Stars

Jim Nill has painted himself into one thing of a nook, handing $96 million to Rantanen with Tyler Seguin coming off long-term injured reserve (LTIR) and Jason Robertson, Wyatt Johnston and Thomas Harley all due vital raises within the subsequent two years. Then there’s captain Jamie Benn, who’s a pending unrestricted free agent. No matter. He’ll get to that finally, and given Nill’s historical past, he’ll certainly make all of it work. What issues is that that is now the Stanley Cup favourite, the most effective group within the NHL. Getting Rantanen — at considerably lower than he’d get on the open market — is an enormous coup for the Stars. The NHL’s middle of gravity continues to shift south.

Loser: Carolina Hurricanes

There’s no spinning this as a constructive for the Hurricanes. GM Eric Tulsky did nicely sufficient to salvage one thing tangible out of it — and in the event you go all the way in which again to the preliminary cope with Colorado, it would even be a web acquire — however it’s a foul beat all the identical. The Hurricanes gave up a premium expertise with one other yr on a team-friendly contract in Martin Necas to amass Rantanen, received 13 measly video games out of him (received solely seven of them), after which flipped him to Dallas for Logan Stankoven and two late first-round picks. Stankoven is an thrilling younger participant, however will he even be at Necas’ stage, not to mention Rantanen’s? The very fact is, this might need been Carolina’s greatest likelihood to interrupt by means of in a wide-open Japanese Convention. As an alternative, they’re farther from competition than they’ve been in years.

The Hurricanes broke from group custom final yr by getting Jake Guentzel as a rental, solely to observe him go away for Tampa (one other group in a tax-free state!). That apparently spooked Carolina sufficient that Rantanen’s ambivalence about Raleigh as a long-term dwelling prompted this quite drastic plan of action. It’s a disgrace. Rantanen’s manufacturing was subpar (six factors in 13 video games), however he was producing an enormous quantity of scoring probabilities. The targets have been going to return, and Rantanen is a monster within the playoffs. Carolina may have gone for it, penalties be damned. As an alternative, the Hurricanes hedged and have been left making an attempt to make the most effective of a foul state of affairs.

Winner: Mitch Marner

With Rantanen off the board, guess who’s the belle of the ball this summer season in free company? Get that bag, Mitch.

Winner: Colorado Avalanche

The commerce deadline is usually an imperfect device for submitting holes, with groups scrambling and infrequently settling so as to add one thing, something, because the clock ticks down. There’s hardly ever an ideal match on the market for a group, and it’s much more uncommon for such a commerce to occur. However Brock Nelson was the proper match for the Avalanche, giving them the second-line middle they so clearly wanted.

The worth was excessive (a first-rounder and prime prospect Calum Ritchie), and the Islanders can really feel simply nearly as good about this deal as Colorado can. However the Avalanche can win the Stanley Cup this season. Nelson makes them that significantly better. Swapping Casey Mittelstadt for Charlie Coyle solely helps. You received’t hear anybody complaining concerning the Avalanche’s lack of facilities anymore.

Loser: Colorado Avalanche

Eight years, $96 million for Rantanen? That’s just about what the Avalanche reportedly provided him earlier than they despatched him to Carolina. There’s the tax-free facet, clearly, but when Rantanen by no means needed to depart and Colorado was keen to hit the identical quantity, that preliminary commerce to Carolina appears untimely in hindsight.

Winnipeg made a tiny step ahead as we speak, including wise depth gamers in Brandon Tanev and Luke Schenn.

However the West shifted wildly beneath Winnipeg’s ft. A tiny step ahead was an enormous step again. Every week that started with the Jets as division favourites ends in disappointment.

— Murat Ates (@WPGMurat) March 7, 2025

Winner: Chicago Blackhawks

Buying and selling Jones makes the Blackhawks worse; there’s no method round that reality. But once more, it may get even worse earlier than it will get higher in Chicago. However Spencer Knight’s 41-save debut has Chicago followers feeling hope for the primary time for the reason that 2023 draft lottery, and it’s an simple victory for Kyle Davidson to solely need to retain $2.5 million on Jones’ contract for the subsequent 5 seasons.

With Jones forcing the difficulty and Chicago having no leverage, it appeared like a cap dump for futures with excessive retention was all of the Blackhawks may hope for. As an alternative, they received a possible No. 1 goalie and a first-rounder, with out an onerous retention. Unloading Petr Mrázek and touchdown a younger, controllable, former first-rounder in Joe Veleno is a pleasant bonus that not solely strikes out a foul contract however averts an ungainly three-goalie state of affairs. Good work by Davidson.

Loser: Chicago Blackhawks

Davidson, flush with cap area and determined for a difference-maker up entrance, had his eye on Rantanen as an excellent linemate for Connor Bedard. Now that Rantanen is off the board, Davidson can solely hope that Toronto doesn’t strike a cope with Marner — and that Marner’s up for a fixer-upper.

Winner: Tampa Bay Lightning

Some day, there will likely be a reckoning for Julien BriseBois and the Lightning, a day on which all their core gamers instantly are tumbling down the getting old curve and the cabinet is totally naked. However that day shouldn’t be as we speak.

Tampa has received 10 of its final 11 video games and has muscled its method again into the true contender tier of the NHL. And when you’ve gotten an opportunity to win, you go for it. BriseBois’ utter disregard for draft picks is sort of comical at this level — Tampa has had one first-round decide within the final 5 drafts and has dealt away its 2025, 2026 and 2027 first-rounders (the final two with top-10 safety) — however it’s additionally completely the best angle for a perennial contender.

Neither Yanni Gourde nor Oliver Bjorkstrand is a franchise-changing needle-mover, however the Lightning know in addition to anyone that it’s these second-tier depth additions that usually make the distinction within the postseason.

Each hockey fan ought to need their group’s GM to assume this manner.

Loser: Buffalo Sabres

As they hurtle towards a 14th straight spring with no playoff look, the Sabres needed to do one thing. And so they did one thing. However they did one thing that doesn’t actually change something.

At greatest, swapping Dylan Cozens (and depth defenseman Dennis Gilbert) for Josh Norris (and depth defenseman Jacob Bernard-Docker) is a wash. At worst, it’s promoting low on a participant with a really excessive ceiling. That the Sabres despatched a second-rounder to Ottawa for the privilege is baffling.

As an alternative of getting aggressive and really remaking a gifted however frequently underperforming roster by dealing away the likes of Jason Zucker and even Alex Tuch, the Sabres are caught operating in place. And that place is final.

They’re in the identical place after the commerce deadline as they have been earlier than the commerce deadline — misplaced.

Winner: Toronto Maple Leafs

The Leafs didn’t have the splashiest deadline — at one level within the day, whereas chaos swirled, you needed to poke Brad Treliving with a stick and see if he was nonetheless awake. However Scott Laughton and Brandon Carlo are sneaky good will get who make Toronto a greater defensive group, initially.

Laughton’s actually an improve over Max Domi, who can shift to the wing. With the Flyers retaining half of Laughton’s wage, the Leafs get a dependable two-way, third-line middle for 2 playoff runs at only a $1.5 million cap hit. And it didn’t value them any of their prime prospects or younger gamers. Even the 2027 first-rounder is top-10 protected.

Laughton is nice on the ice and nice within the room. It’s not essentially the most thrilling transfer, however for a group that’s been completed in by its lack of ahead depth in earlier postseasons, it’s a savvy one.

Loser: Vancouver Canucks

It seems like there might be progress towards a Brock Boeser extension, however what are these Canucks? They’re not going for it, having traded J.T. Miller away earlier within the season and Carson Soucy to the Rangers for a third-rounder on the deadline. They’re not retooling, having held on to Boeser and Elias Pettersson. Their captain and greatest participant is damage, they’re on the periphery of the playoffs, they usually appear to be going nowhere slowly.

Winner: San Jose Sharks

For completely nothing, Sharks GM Mike Grier received 50 stable video games from Jake Walman, a second-round decide (from Detroit as a cap-dump sweetener final summer season) and a first-round decide (from Edmonton for Walman on Thursday). Steve Yzerman may by no means.

Loser: Edmonton Oilers

Dallas went out and added the most effective participant accessible in Rantanen and locked him up long-term. Colorado went out and added the highest rental accessible in Nelson. Edmonton added a stable second-pair defenseman in Walman and a third-line ahead in Trent Frederic. If that is an arms race, Edmonton is shedding. The Oilers are the defending convention champion and have been the preseason favorites to win all of it. Now, they appear like the fifth-best group within the West. It’s silly to ever doubt Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid, however the Oilers have an uphill climb to get again to the Last.

(Illustration: Kelsea Petersen / The Athletic; Invoice Wippert, Mike Stobe, Josh Lavellee / Getty Photos)





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